Sagan Tosu vs Fagiano Okayama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
11.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
JEF
3 - 3
SAG
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
GAI
3 - 6
SAG
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
SAG
2 - 1
MIT
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
TOK
0 - 2
SAG
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
SAG
1 - 0
GAI
54%
24%
21%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
GAI
1 - 1
FAG
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
GIF
1 - 3
FAG
42%
27%
32%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
FAG
1 - 0
CON
24%
28%
49%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
OIT
1 - 0
FAG
57%
25%
18%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
FAG
0 - 4
TOK
24%
26%
51%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |