Sagamihara vs Thespa Gunma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
32.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagamihara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 1
SAG
53%
25%
22%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
TOK
3 - 0
SAG
39%
26%
36%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
SAG
2 - 1
AZU
29%
26%
45%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
SAG
0 - 1
BLA
34%
27%
39%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
GAI
7 - 0
SAG
37%
25%
38%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
THE
0 - 1
GRU
60%
22%
19%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
KAT
0 - 1
THE
37%
27%
37%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
CER
0 - 2
THE
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
THE
1 - 0
GOS
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
TOK
1 - 2
THE
46%
24%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |