Sagamihara vs Honda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagamihara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
KAM
1 - 0
SAG
41%
28%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
SAG
3 - 2
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
TOC
3 - 4
SAG
22%
23%
54%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
HON
2 - 4
SAG
23%
25%
52%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
YSC
1 - 4
SAG
37%
25%
38%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Honda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
HON
5 - 0
TOC
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ZWE
1 - 0
HON
42%
25%
32%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
HON
3 - 1
BLA
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
SON
3 - 1
HON
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
HON
3 - 0
MAC
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |