Safa vs Tripoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
4º
6º
5º
18
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 20 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
18 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 14 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 11 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
10 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 9 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Safa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
HIK
0 - 1
SAF
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SAF
0 - 0
TRI
54%
24%
22%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SAL
0 - 0
SAF
15%
21%
65%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
SAF
0 - 2
SHA
34%
27%
39%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ALN
1 - 0
SAF
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Tripoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
NAB
0 - 0
TRI
34%
26%
39%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SAF
0 - 0
TRI
54%
24%
22%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ALG
1 - 0
TRI
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
TRI
2 - 2
ALA
49%
26%
26%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
TRI
1 - 1
SAL
73%
18%
9%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |