Safa vs Tripoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
4º
8º
8º
5
7º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 24 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 12 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 10 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
5 | 5 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Safa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SAL
0 - 0
SAF
15%
21%
65%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
SAF
0 - 2
SHA
34%
27%
39%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ALN
1 - 0
SAF
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
SAF
0 - 4
ALA
35%
27%
38%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
SAF
1 - 3
HIK
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Tripoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ALG
1 - 0
TRI
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
TRI
2 - 2
ALA
49%
26%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
TRI
1 - 1
SAL
73%
18%
9%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
TRI
0 - 0
SHA
26%
27%
47%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ALN
2 - 0
TRI
62%
23%
15%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |