Safa vs Tripoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
25.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Safa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
SAF
2 - 1
ALA
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
TAD
0 - 1
SAF
41%
27%
33%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
SAF
0 - 1
RAC
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SAF
1 - 0
ALN
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
ALA
2 - 4
SAF
56%
22%
22%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tripoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
TRI
2 - 0
TAD
47%
26%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ALN
1 - 0
TRI
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ALN
2 - 5
TRI
52%
25%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
ALA
2 - 0
TRI
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
TRI
0 - 1
SAL
45%
24%
31%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |