Safa vs Tripoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Safa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
ALA
1 - 1
SAF
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
SAF
0 - 2
SHO
55%
24%
22%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -3 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SAF
2 - 1
ALA
51%
25%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +3 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
ALT
1 - 2
SAF
23%
23%
55%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | -3 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
SAF
0 - 0
RAC
51%
26%
23%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +3 |
Matches
Tripoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
SSO
0 - 0
TRI
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
ALM
1 - 3
TRI
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
TAD
0 - 0
TRI
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
TRI
0 - 0
ALA
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
ALA
2 - 0
TRI
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |