Safa vs Tadamon Sour analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
4º
8º
8º
10
4º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 24 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 12 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
10 | 10 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 5 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Safa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 3
SAF
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
SAF
1 - 1
ALG
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2022 |
HIK
1 - 0
SAF
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SAF
3 - 1
ASB
53%
24%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
SAF
4 - 0
ALA
47%
26%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Tadamon Sour
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
ALG
2 - 2
TAD
43%
26%
31%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
TAD
0 - 0
TRI
32%
28%
40%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
TAD
1 - 4
SHA
35%
28%
38%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
SEB
2 - 2
TAD
57%
23%
19%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
TAD
1 - 2
ALA
23%
25%
53%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |