Safa vs Salam Zgharta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
4º
6º
5º
11
4º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 20 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 14 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
11 | 11 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
10 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 9 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Safa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SAF
1 - 3
TAD
43%
27%
30%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
ALA
2 - 2
SAF
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
TRI
1 - 1
SAF
42%
26%
33%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SAF
0 - 0
HIK
36%
25%
39%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
TAD
4 - 1
SAF
39%
27%
34%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Salam Zgharta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SAL
0 - 0
ALA
29%
26%
46%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
SAL
2 - 1
TRI
24%
26%
50%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +3 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SAL
2 - 1
HIK
12%
19%
69%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | +3 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
TAD
1 - 0
SAL
75%
17%
8%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
HIK
1 - 2
SAL
78%
16%
7%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | +2 |