Safa vs Salam Zgharta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
4º
6º
5º
11
4º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 20 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 14 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
11 | 11 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
10 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 9 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Safa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SAF
1 - 3
TAD
43%
27%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
ALA
2 - 2
SAF
37%
26%
37%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
TRI
1 - 1
SAF
42%
26%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SAF
0 - 0
HIK
36%
25%
39%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
TAD
4 - 1
SAF
39%
27%
34%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Salam Zgharta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SAL
0 - 0
ALA
29%
26%
46%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
SAL
2 - 1
TRI
24%
26%
50%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SAL
2 - 1
HIK
12%
19%
69%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | +4 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
TAD
1 - 0
SAL
75%
17%
8%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
HIK
1 - 2
SAL
78%
16%
7%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | +2 |