Safa vs Salam Zgharta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
9.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Safa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
SEB
1 - 2
SAF
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
SHA
1 - 0
SAF
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
ALA
2 - 1
SAF
72%
19%
10%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
ALG
0 - 1
SAF
32%
24%
44%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
ALA
6 - 1
SAF
66%
21%
13%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Salam Zgharta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
SHA
4 - 0
SAL
82%
13%
6%
|
34 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
ALA
3 - 0
SAL
83%
14%
4%
|
34 | 69 | 35 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
ALG
2 - 1
SAL
68%
18%
14%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
ALA
6 - 0
SAL
78%
15%
7%
|
35 | 63 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
SAL
0 - 2
TAD
27%
26%
47%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -2 |