Safa vs Salam Zgharta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Safa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
SHA
2 - 0
SAF
47%
25%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
TRI
0 - 1
SAF
44%
26%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
SAF
1 - 2
ALA
40%
27%
34%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
TAD
0 - 0
SAF
28%
26%
46%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
SAF
1 - 0
ALG
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Salam Zgharta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
RAC
3 - 0
SAL
59%
22%
19%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
ALN
3 - 1
SAL
56%
23%
21%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
SAL
0 - 1
ALA
7%
18%
74%
|
39 | 70 | 31 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
SAL
1 - 0
ALN
13%
22%
66%
|
38 | 63 | 25 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
ALA
4 - 0
SAL
70%
19%
11%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | -1 |