Safa vs Salam Zgharta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
12.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Safa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
ALG
2 - 4
SAF
48%
24%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SAF
3 - 0
HIK
47%
25%
29%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ALA
2 - 0
SAF
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ISL
2 - 4
SAF
18%
21%
61%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
SAF
2 - 1
ALE
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Salam Zgharta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 0
ALM
33%
24%
43%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ALA
3 - 0
SAL
76%
15%
9%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
NAB
2 - 0
SAL
41%
24%
36%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 1
AAM
53%
22%
26%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 4
SHA
29%
25%
46%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |