Safa vs Regar-TadAZ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
7.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Safa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
TRI
2 - 2
SAF
45%
27%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
SAF
1 - 0
ALG
52%
23%
25%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
ALE
1 - 2
SAF
50%
25%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
SAF
2 - 1
SSO
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2013 |
SAF
3 - 3
ALA
46%
23%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Regar-TadAZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2012 |
CSK
0 - 2
REG
46%
24%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
REG
11 - 0
GUD
52%
21%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 2
REG
49%
23%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
REG
0 - 0
IST
57%
20%
23%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
REG
1 - 0
VAK
63%
20%
18%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |