Safa vs Racing Beirut analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Safa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
SAF
3 - 0
ALG
69%
19%
12%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
SAF
1 - 1
BOU
38%
28%
34%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
SAF
4 - 1
TAD
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SAF
1 - 3
ALA
28%
26%
47%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TRI
2 - 4
SAF
41%
26%
34%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Racing Beirut
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
RAC
2 - 2
ALA
23%
24%
53%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
RAC
1 - 2
SHA
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
RAC
1 - 1
HIK
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
RAC
3 - 0
NAB
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
RAC
1 - 1
ALN
25%
26%
49%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |