Safa vs Racing Beirut analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Safa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
SAF
0 - 1
SAL
77%
15%
8%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
SHA
2 - 0
SAF
47%
25%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
TRI
0 - 1
SAF
44%
26%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
SAF
1 - 2
ALA
40%
27%
34%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
TAD
0 - 0
SAF
28%
26%
46%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Racing Beirut
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
RAC
3 - 1
ALN
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
RAC
3 - 0
SAL
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
RAC
0 - 2
SHA
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
ALA
2 - 0
RAC
66%
22%
13%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
RAC
0 - 4
ALA
32%
28%
41%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |