Safa vs Racing Beirut analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
28.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Safa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SAF
1 - 0
ALN
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
ALA
2 - 4
SAF
56%
22%
22%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2014 |
SAF
0 - 1
28%
25%
47%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
RAC
4 - 0
SAF
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
SAF
2 - 0
SHA
48%
26%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Beirut
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ALA
0 - 0
RAC
49%
24%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
ALN
4 - 4
RAC
50%
25%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
RAC
4 - 0
SAF
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ALA
2 - 0
RAC
57%
22%
21%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
ALA
1 - 1
RAC
50%
24%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |