Safa vs Bourj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
30.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
4º
8º
8º
23
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 24 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 12 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 10 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 5 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Safa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SAF
1 - 0
TAD
62%
23%
16%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 3
SAF
38%
26%
36%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
SAF
1 - 1
ALG
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2022 |
HIK
1 - 0
SAF
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SAF
3 - 1
ASB
53%
24%
24%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bourj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ALG
0 - 2
BOU
26%
26%
48%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
BOU
4 - 1
TRI
43%
29%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BOU
2 - 1
SAL
78%
17%
6%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
BOU
0 - 2
ALA
36%
28%
36%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
SHA
1 - 1
BOU
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |