Safa vs Al Tilal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Safa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SAF
5 - 2
TAD
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
ALA
1 - 3
SAF
48%
26%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
SAF
1 - 0
ALZ
25%
24%
51%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
SHA
0 - 2
SAF
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
ALZ
1 - 0
SAF
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -3 |
Matches
Al Tilal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
ALT
0 - 2
SHO
25%
25%
50%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
SHO
3 - 0
ALT
74%
17%
9%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
ALZ
5 - 0
ALT
84%
12%
4%
|
38 | 66 | 28 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
ALT
1 - 2
SAF
23%
23%
55%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2011 |
ALO
1 - 0
ALT
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |