Safa vs Sagesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
28.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Safa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ALA
2 - 0
SAF
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ISL
2 - 4
SAF
18%
21%
61%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
SAF
2 - 1
ALE
46%
24%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2015 |
ALA
1 - 3
SAF
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
SAF
2 - 1
SHA
49%
26%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sagesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
HIK
1 - 7
ALA
41%
27%
33%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
ALA
3 - 1
HIK
42%
25%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2015 |
SHA
6 - 2
HIK
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
HIK
0 - 4
ALA
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
HIK
2 - 2
SAL
63%
21%
17%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |