Safa vs Al Ansar Beirut analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
42.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+85%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
4º
8º
8º
27
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
27 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 24 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 12 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 10 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 5 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Safa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
SAF
1 - 2
BOU
42%
28%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SAF
1 - 0
TAD
62%
23%
16%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 3
SAF
38%
26%
36%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
SAF
1 - 1
ALG
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2022 |
HIK
1 - 0
SAF
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Al Ansar Beirut
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
ALA
2 - 1
ALG
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
TRI
0 - 6
ALA
31%
26%
43%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SAL
0 - 3
ALA
8%
16%
76%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ALA
2 - 2
SHA
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 2
ALN
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |