Safa vs Al Ansar Beirut analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
42.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+76%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
4º
8º
8º
27
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
27 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 24 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 12 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 10 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 5 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Safa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
SAF
1 - 2
BOU
42%
28%
31%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SAF
1 - 0
TAD
62%
23%
16%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 3
SAF
38%
26%
36%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
SAF
1 - 1
ALG
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2022 |
HIK
1 - 0
SAF
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Al Ansar Beirut
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
ALA
2 - 1
ALG
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
TRI
0 - 6
ALA
31%
26%
43%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SAL
0 - 3
ALA
8%
16%
76%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ALA
2 - 2
SHA
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 2
ALN
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |