Safa vs Al Ahed analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
64.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Safa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
SAF
0 - 1
ALN
23%
25%
52%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
HLB
1 - 3
SAF
17%
20%
63%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
SAF
1 - 3
ALA
34%
25%
41%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
RAC
1 - 1
SAF
29%
26%
45%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
SAF
2 - 0
ALN
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Al Ahed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
ALA
2 - 0
RAC
81%
14%
5%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
SHA
0 - 1
ALA
10%
15%
75%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2019 |
ALA
1 - 0
ALN
81%
14%
5%
|
70 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
ALA
2 - 1
TAD
77%
16%
7%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2018 |
ALN
0 - 3
ALA
28%
26%
46%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |