Sacramento Republic vs FC Tulsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sacramento Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2018 |
SAC
2 - 1
COL
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
LVG
1 - 1
SAC
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
SAC
1 - 0
SEA
71%
17%
12%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
RGV
2 - 2
SAC
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
ORA
0 - 1
SAC
46%
26%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
FC Tulsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2018 |
FFC
2 - 2
TUL
76%
16%
8%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2018 |
TUL
0 - 0
POR
60%
20%
20%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
TUL
0 - 5
ORA
38%
25%
38%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
TUL
2 - 3
MON
29%
25%
46%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
OKC
1 - 0
TUL
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |