Sacramento Republic vs Tacoma Defiance analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sacramento Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
SAC
1 - 1
LAG
36%
25%
39%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
SDL
2 - 1
SAC
59%
24%
18%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
ORS
2 - 1
SAC
46%
27%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
SAC
3 - 1
TAC
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
SAC
0 - 2
LAG
45%
25%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Tacoma Defiance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
TAC
0 - 1
LVG
71%
17%
12%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
TAC
4 - 1
ORA
26%
24%
50%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
AUB
1 - 0
TAC
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
SAC
3 - 1
TAC
56%
22%
22%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
TAC
1 - 2
ARI
15%
23%
62%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |