Sacramento Republic vs Portland Timbers II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sacramento Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
LOU
3 - 4
SAC
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
SAC
1 - 1
USA
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
OKC
0 - 1
SAC
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
RGV
0 - 0
SAC
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
VAN
0 - 0
SAC
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Portland Timbers II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2016 |
MON
2 - 1
POR
43%
26%
31%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
POR
2 - 1
ORA
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
LAG
3 - 4
POR
70%
19%
12%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
POR
1 - 1
COL
27%
24%
49%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2016 |
SEA
1 - 0
POR
53%
24%
24%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |