Sacramento Republic vs Orange County SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
29.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sacramento Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
TUL
2 - 3
SAC
20%
23%
56%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2019 |
SAC
2 - 2
LAG
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
SAC
1 - 2
EPL
57%
24%
19%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2019 |
OKC
0 - 0
SAC
34%
27%
38%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
SAC
2 - 1
RGV
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Orange County SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
MON
2 - 0
ORA
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
ORA
2 - 0
OKC
69%
18%
13%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
RGV
2 - 0
ORA
19%
24%
57%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
TUL
0 - 1
ORA
15%
21%
64%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
ORA
2 - 0
EPL
62%
22%
17%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |