Sacramento Republic vs Orange County SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sacramento Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
OKC
2 - 0
SAC
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2014 |
SAC
1 - 0
ARI
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
SAC
4 - 3
COL
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2014 |
SJE
2 - 1
SAC
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
SAC
1 - 1
ARI
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Orange County SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
ARI
2 - 3
ORA
41%
25%
34%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
ORA
2 - 1
CHI
67%
19%
15%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 1
ORA
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2014 |
ORL
4 - 1
ORA
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
ORA
4 - 3
DAY
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |