Sacramento Republic vs New Mexico United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
22%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sacramento Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SAC
1 - 0
MIA
54%
25%
22%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
RGV
2 - 3
SAC
33%
29%
38%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
SAC
2 - 0
LVG
74%
18%
9%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
COL
2 - 0
SAC
32%
28%
40%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
SAC
0 - 0
NMU
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
New Mexico United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
NMU
4 - 1
MEM
36%
26%
37%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ARI
1 - 2
NMU
61%
22%
18%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
NMU
2 - 0
LOU
28%
26%
47%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
PIT
2 - 1
NMU
60%
24%
16%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
SAC
0 - 0
NMU
62%
22%
16%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |