Sacramento Republic vs Ventura County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
29.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sacramento Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
SAC
1 - 3
KIT
42%
24%
34%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
SAC
1 - 1
SPK
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
SAC
5 - 0
AGU
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
SAC
2 - 0
SEA
65%
21%
15%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
LAG
0 - 2
SAC
53%
24%
24%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Ventura County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
LAG
4 - 1
ARI
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2016 |
SEA
1 - 1
LAG
33%
25%
43%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
VAN
4 - 3
LAG
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
LAG
0 - 2
SAC
53%
24%
24%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
LAG
3 - 2
COL
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |