Sacramento Republic vs Ventura County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sacramento Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2015 |
MON
1 - 1
SAC
28%
25%
47%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
AUS
0 - 0
SAC
46%
24%
30%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2015 |
TUL
1 - 3
SAC
32%
25%
42%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
SAC
2 - 1
OKC
56%
22%
22%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2015 |
SJE
2 - 2
SAC
74%
17%
9%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Ventura County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2015 |
LAG
1 - 1
OKC
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
TUL
2 - 4
LAG
38%
25%
37%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
LAG
3 - 0
ORA
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
VAN
0 - 2
LAG
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2015 |
SEA
1 - 0
LAG
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |