Sacramento Republic vs Kitsap Pumas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
34.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sacramento Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
SAC
1 - 1
SPK
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
SAC
5 - 0
AGU
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
SAC
2 - 0
SEA
65%
21%
15%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
LAG
0 - 2
SAC
53%
24%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
SAC
0 - 1
ORA
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Kitsap Pumas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
KIT
1 - 0
SEA
67%
20%
14%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
KIT
1 - 1
WAS
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
KIT
1 - 0
SEA
65%
20%
15%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2016 |
WAS
2 - 1
KIT
18%
22%
60%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
LAN
0 - 0
KIT
17%
22%
61%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |