Sacramento Republic vs Fresno FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
25.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sacramento Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
SAC
1 - 1
OKC
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
COL
0 - 1
SAC
36%
28%
36%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
SPK
1 - 3
SAC
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
SAC
0 - 0
MON
36%
27%
38%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
FFC
2 - 0
SAC
45%
26%
30%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Fresno FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
TUL
1 - 1
FFC
23%
24%
53%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
OKC
0 - 0
FFC
30%
27%
43%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
FFC
4 - 0
ARI
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
POR
2 - 4
FFC
30%
26%
45%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
FFC
2 - 0
SAC
45%
26%
30%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |