Sacramento Republic vs Chula Vista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
4.9%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sacramento Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
OKC
2 - 1
SAC
33%
26%
42%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2015 |
SAC
4 - 2
SON
78%
15%
7%
|
55 | 31 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2015 |
LAG
0 - 1
SAC
40%
25%
35%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
SAC
3 - 0
SEA
57%
22%
21%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
MON
1 - 0
SAC
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Chula Vista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2015 |
ARI
0 - 3
CHU
81%
13%
5%
|
16 | 48 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
TUC
1 - 2
CHU
76%
16%
8%
|
15 | 42 | 27 | +1 |