Sacramento Republic vs Austin Aztex analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sacramento Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2015 |
SAC
1 - 1
MON
66%
19%
15%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2015 |
SAC
7 - 3
CHU
83%
13%
5%
|
55 | 19 | 36 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
OKC
2 - 1
SAC
33%
26%
42%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2015 |
SAC
4 - 2
SON
78%
15%
7%
|
56 | 32 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2015 |
LAG
0 - 1
SAC
40%
25%
35%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Austin Aztex
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2015 |
OKC
1 - 0
AUS
35%
26%
39%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 2
AUS
67%
18%
15%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
AUS
0 - 1
TUL
67%
19%
14%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2015 |
AUS
2 - 0
LAR
56%
22%
23%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ARI
3 - 2
AUS
36%
25%
39%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |