Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix Rising analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
26.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sacramento Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
USA
1 - 0
SAC
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SAC
4 - 0
ORA
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SAC
4 - 0
LOU
76%
17%
8%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
ORL
3 - 0
SAC
85%
11%
4%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
LOU
3 - 1
SAC
62%
22%
15%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Phoenix Rising
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
MBF
3 - 3
ARI
10%
17%
74%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SDL
3 - 0
ARI
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
ARI
0 - 2
ORS
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
COL
1 - 0
ARI
37%
25%
38%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
ARI
2 - 1
RGV
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |