Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix Rising analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
19.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sacramento Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2014 |
SAC
6 - 0
FRE
60%
21%
20%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2014 |
DAY
1 - 2
SAC
41%
25%
35%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
ROC
0 - 1
SAC
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
SAC
2 - 1
LAG
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2014 |
VEN
1 - 2
SAC
27%
24%
49%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Phoenix Rising
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2014 |
ARI
2 - 1
OKC
54%
23%
24%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
ARI
0 - 4
CHI
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
ARI
0 - 1
ORL
21%
26%
53%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 3
ARI
49%
23%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
PNN
0 - 1
ARI
59%
21%
20%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |