Sachsen Leipzig vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
27.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sachsen Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
BFC
1 - 1
SAC
55%
21%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
SAC
0 - 0
ZWI
53%
22%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1958 |
BWA
1 - 0
SAC
74%
15%
11%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
SAC
5 - 0
BAB
55%
21%
23%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1958 |
HAL
1 - 1
SAC
39%
24%
37%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
ERF
1 - 0
CZJ
59%
21%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
ERF
0 - 2
BFC
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1958 |
ERF
0 - 2
ABS
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
ERF
4 - 2
HAL
69%
17%
14%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1958 |
SED
0 - 2
ERF
55%
21%
24%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |