Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 5-2
Sachsen Leipzig vs Legia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
20.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sachsen Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1966 |
SAC
2 - 1
DJU
61%
20%
20%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1966 |
DJU
1 - 3
SAC
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1965 |
LEE
0 - 0
SAC
70%
17%
13%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1965 |
SAC
1 - 2
LEE
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
BWA
1 - 3
SAC
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1965 |
MUN
0 - 0
WAR
74%
14%
12%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1965 |
WAR
0 - 4
MUN
44%
22%
34%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1964 |
WAR
1 - 0
GAL
58%
20%
21%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1964 |
GAL
1 - 0
WAR
52%
22%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1964 |
WAR
2 - 1
GAL
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |