Sachsen Leipzig vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sachsen Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 1996 |
LAS
0 - 0
SAC
37%
28%
35%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1996 |
HER
0 - 3
SAC
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
SAC
1 - 1
REI
63%
22%
16%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
WAC
1 - 1
SAC
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
SAC
2 - 3
HZE
65%
20%
16%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 1996 |
ERZ
1 - 0
CHE
31%
26%
44%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1996 |
ERF
1 - 1
ERZ
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
ERZ
6 - 0
STA
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
SSV
0 - 0
ERZ
55%
24%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1996 |
ERZ
4 - 2
LAS
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |