Sacachispas vs Excursionistas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
15%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sacachispas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2013 |
CAM
3 - 1
SAC
33%
28%
39%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
SAC
2 - 1
LIN
55%
25%
20%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
CCO
1 - 1
SAC
31%
27%
43%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
SAC
1 - 1
BER
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
POR
4 - 0
SAC
36%
28%
36%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2013 |
EXC
3 - 0
MID
33%
27%
41%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
STM
0 - 1
EXC
49%
27%
25%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 1
LAF
28%
30%
42%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2013 |
LUJ
0 - 0
EXC
59%
25%
16%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
EXC
0 - 2
ITA
40%
29%
31%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |