FC Iberia 1999 vs Samgurali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
2º
10º
6º
57
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Iberia 1999
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
GAG
2 - 1
SAB
20%
25%
55%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
SAB
2 - 1
SAM
52%
23%
26%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
SAB
0 - 0
SAM
68%
19%
12%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
GOR
3 - 0
SAB
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
GOR
0 - 0
SAB
45%
24%
31%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Samgurali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
SAM
3 - 2
DBA
23%
26%
52%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
SAB
2 - 1
SAM
52%
23%
26%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
FTK
0 - 0
SAM
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 2
DTB
27%
26%
48%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 1
DTB
25%
23%
53%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |