FC Iberia 1999 vs Gagra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
5º
3º
19
6º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 67 |
1º
|
43% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 64 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 63 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 62 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 56 |
5º
|
44% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 45 |
6º
|
39% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 44 |
7º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
19 | 35 |
8º
|
32% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 33 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 24 |
10º
|
76.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
15% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
48% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
37% | 29% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 62% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 9% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Iberia 1999
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 2
SAB
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
SAB
3 - 0
DBA
36%
25%
39%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
GOR
3 - 1
SAB
49%
26%
26%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
SAB
1 - 0
DTB
35%
25%
40%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SAB
2 - 2
SAM
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
GAG
0 - 1
FTK
23%
27%
50%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
TEL
1 - 0
GAG
45%
27%
29%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
GAG
0 - 0
SAM
29%
26%
45%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 3
GAG
50%
24%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
KOL
2 - 1
GAG
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |