Q. Europa League Tercera Ronda Final
Global 2-3
FC Iberia 1999 vs Ararat-Armenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
22.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Iberia 1999
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
DTB
2 - 1
SAB
58%
22%
21%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2019 |
AVA
1 - 2
SAB
52%
21%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2019 |
DZG
3 - 0
SAB
70%
18%
12%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
SAB
0 - 2
DZG
31%
27%
43%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
SAB
1 - 3
SHF
41%
24%
35%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ararat-Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
AVA
3 - 1
GAN
63%
23%
15%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2019 |
AVA
1 - 2
SAB
52%
21%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2019 |
LRI
1 - 2
AVA
70%
16%
14%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
AVA
2 - 0
LRI
30%
20%
50%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
AIK
3 - 1
AVA
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |