Saburtalo II vs Gareji analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
51.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saburtalo II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2021 |
SAT
3 - 0
FCM
51%
23%
26%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
CHI
3 - 1
SAT
25%
25%
51%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
SAT
1 - 1
KOL
43%
24%
33%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
TBI
1 - 3
SAT
15%
18%
67%
|
45 | 18 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
FCB
1 - 4
SAT
83%
12%
5%
|
42 | 65 | 23 | +3 |
Matches
Gareji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
CHI
0 - 2
GAR
60%
21%
19%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2021 |
GAR
1 - 0
MER
32%
27%
41%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
WIT
0 - 0
GAR
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
SIO
2 - 0
GAR
64%
19%
17%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
GAR
2 - 0
SHE
50%
24%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |