Sablé vs Saumur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
29.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sablé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
ELA
0 - 0
SAB
12%
17%
71%
|
28 | 8 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
ACP
2 - 5
SAB
48%
22%
30%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
SAB
1 - 1
LAV
49%
22%
28%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
CHA
2 - 0
SAB
23%
23%
55%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -3 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
CHA
2 - 0
SAB
38%
25%
37%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Saumur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
SAU
0 - 0
FON
46%
24%
30%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
SAU
1 - 1
ASC
71%
17%
13%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
SAU
1 - 2
CHA
46%
25%
29%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
ASS
0 - 1
SAU
18%
19%
62%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
SAU
2 - 2
FON
58%
22%
21%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |