Sablé vs Hérouville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
12.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sablé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
SAI
0 - 4
SAB
48%
25%
28%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SAB
2 - 1
LOR
36%
25%
39%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
LAV
2 - 0
SAB
37%
28%
35%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
USS
5 - 0
SAB
41%
28%
31%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
LOC
2 - 1
SAB
37%
27%
36%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Hérouville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
HER
0 - 0
BRE
34%
25%
42%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
STA
2 - 2
HER
69%
18%
13%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
HER
1 - 0
GUI
26%
23%
51%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
LAN
0 - 1
HER
74%
16%
10%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
DIN
1 - 1
HER
73%
17%
10%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | +1 |