Sablé vs Fontenay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
45.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
7º
14º
12º
22
2º
13º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
23 | 44 |
1º
|
33% | |
|
1º
|
24 | 42 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 41 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
|
4º
|
22 | 40 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 40 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 38 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 37 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
2º
|
23 | 37 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 36 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 33 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 32 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
|
12º
|
15 | 31 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 30 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 27 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 12.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
40% | 77.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
12.5% | 4% |
|
Relegation
|
47% | 6% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sablé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
AND
0 - 5
SAB
12%
16%
72%
|
30 | 7 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SPG
2 - 2
SAB
52%
21%
27%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SAB
2 - 2
ESO
41%
22%
38%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LAT
0 - 1
SAB
66%
19%
16%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SAB
0 - 2
ANG
35%
24%
42%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Fontenay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ESM
0 - 6
FON
16%
19%
65%
|
40 | 7 | 33 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
FON
1 - 1
LAV
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
VIT
1 - 1
FON
52%
24%
24%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FON
1 - 0
CHA
76%
16%
9%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
PAN
2 - 1
FON
32%
24%
45%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | -2 |