Sablé vs Fontenay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
33.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
4º
11º
7º
48
2º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sablé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ASC
2 - 2
SAB
37%
22%
40%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
SAB
2 - 1
USS
30%
23%
47%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
LSD
1 - 1
SAB
32%
22%
46%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SAB
1 - 1
LAV
36%
24%
41%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
NAN
2 - 0
SAB
63%
22%
15%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Fontenay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
USS
1 - 1
FON
53%
25%
22%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ACG
1 - 0
FON
14%
20%
67%
|
40 | 11 | 29 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
FON
1 - 0
LAV
48%
25%
26%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SPG
1 - 2
FON
42%
24%
34%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FON
7 - 1
LPS
43%
25%
32%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +2 |