Sablé vs Cholet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
22%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sablé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
THO
1 - 1
SAB
46%
27%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
SAB
2 - 1
AVO
68%
18%
14%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
SAB
3 - 1
LIM
28%
24%
48%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | +3 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 1
SAB
51%
24%
25%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
SAB
2 - 2
CHA
73%
16%
11%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cholet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CHO
1 - 2
CHA
68%
18%
14%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
THO
1 - 0
CHO
40%
27%
33%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
CHO
0 - 0
LEP
67%
18%
14%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
AVO
2 - 1
CHO
25%
24%
52%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
CHO
3 - 1
LAS
75%
16%
10%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |