Sablé vs Change analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
14.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sablé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
VAN
2 - 1
SAB
82%
13%
5%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
SAB
0 - 1
ANG
39%
24%
36%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
SAB
1 - 0
LAN
57%
22%
22%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
USF
3 - 0
SAB
41%
23%
36%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
SAB
1 - 1
STA
46%
23%
31%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Change
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 1
USF
33%
23%
44%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
STA
6 - 0
CHA
75%
16%
10%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 3
BRE
36%
26%
38%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
LAV
3 - 0
CHA
55%
23%
23%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
CHA
3 - 2
GUI
39%
24%
37%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |