Sablé vs Ancienne Château-Gontier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.2%
6.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+899%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
4º
11º
7º
11
10º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
89.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sablé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SAB
2 - 1
CHA
77%
15%
8%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
NIO
3 - 0
SAB
40%
23%
38%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SAB
0 - 2
FON
42%
25%
34%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ASC
2 - 2
SAB
37%
22%
40%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
SAB
2 - 1
USS
30%
23%
47%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Ancienne Château-Gontier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
NIO
2 - 1
ACG
83%
11%
6%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ACG
1 - 5
ASC
15%
18%
67%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
LSD
3 - 1
ACG
79%
13%
8%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ACG
0 - 2
NAN
11%
16%
73%
|
15 | 43 | 28 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ACG
1 - 0
FON
14%
20%
67%
|
9 | 39 | 30 | +6 |